Let's define a better bellwether - with a focus on Michigan

A county worth chronicling? Rethinking Bellwethers In search of two key qualities Volatile counties as bellwethers Indicative counties as bellwethers Combining these two qualities: the Swing Multiplier Defining the Swing Multiplier Swing Multiplier results Crowning Michigan’s bellwether counties 1st Cass 2nd Wexford 3rd Luce Not Washtenaw! General thoughts Coda: Michigan demographics don’t have a clear destiny. Summary: Data-driven discussion and identification of what should be Michigan’s bellwether counties point to a consistent set of counties that exhibit sizable changes each election that are also accurate reflections of statewide trends. [Read More]